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Contrarian Thinking

How to Navigate The Split-Screen Economy

August 22, 2025
4 min read
Contrarian Thinking Newsletter Header - Something Big is Coming

The American economy feels like it’s living in two timelines at once.

Prosperity and precarity. Boom and bust. Opportunity and stagnation.

This... and this meme

Just look at the headlines:

1. Homeownership is going great if you’re 75, but terrible if you’re 35.

2. Sprawling data farms increasingly cover ground, while offices decreasingly break ground

3. In 1970, estimates say, over half of 30-year-olds were married homeowners. Today, barely 13% are.

4. Nvidia employees are seeing their net worths rocket past $25 million…

…But young tech grads who thought they’d be set for life are competing for Chipotle jobs.

Contradictions like these are often an early signal of massive change. And beneath the noise, a clear pattern is emerging.

The Common Thread

The story we’re living isn’t really about tech layoffs, or housing markets, or even AI. The story is about who owns what. That’s the American economy today, and the winners are clear:

  • Boomers who locked in assets decades ago.
  • Tech insiders with outsized equity.
  • The sliver of Americans who own profitable businesses.

The traditional “markers of stability” have slipped out of reach for many, but not because prosperity has disappeared. It’s just moved into the hands of those who own.

As Sam Altman put it: “You get rich by owning things.”

The Great Transfer

Here’s the part that isn’t making as many headlines: America is on the cusp of the largest wealth transfer in its history.

Doesn’t mean money will rain from the sky, but it does mean lots of unique opportunities will appear.

Boomers own roughly half of all small businesses in the U.S. But they’re aging out. Retiring. Dying. Deciding they don’t want to manage payroll or deal with customers anymore.

But to capture these businesses, you need to understand why people sell.

It’s not always because of money. It’s often because life happens:

Reasons why sellers might sell their business at a discount: Death, Distress, Dullness, Departure, Disease, Divoice, Disagreement

  1. Departure: Retirement, the most common driver.
  2. Divorce: A forced asset split.
  3. Disease: Health challenges push an exit.
  4. Disagreement: Partners fall out.
  5. Distress: Financial strain forces a sale.
  6. Death: An estate liquidates quickly.
  7. Dullness: The owner is simply bored.

Spot one of these Ds, and you’ve found a pressure point, a moment where a good business may be available at a great price.

Why This Matters Now

The uncomfortable truth is that income alone probably won’t secure your children’s future.

Jobs are increasingly fragile, retirement systems are insolvent, and housing affordability is collapsing. But assets endure. Businesses endure. Ownership endures.

  • Office tower construction might be slowing, but the HVAC companies servicing them are profitable.
  • Tech jobs might be increasingly scarce, but the plumbing businesses that keep America running aren’t going anywhere.
  • Data centers may be the new oil wells, but behind every one is a local contractor, security firm, and maintenance provider.

This is the unsexy side of the economy where wealth is still stealthily being built, and where ordinary Americans can still claim a stake.

The good news is that ownership is available to anyone willing to learn how to find, buy, and profitably operate the small businesses that quietly power Main Street.

The Invitation

That’s why we’re hosting Main Street Millionaire Live: a 3-day virtual bootcamp on the exact playbooks for spotting these opportunities, structuring the deals, and stepping into ownership.

Codie Sanchez presenting during Main Street Millionaire Live virtual event with multiple screens of attendees.

Come, and we’ll show you how to:

  • Identify great businesses for you (and avoid bad ones).
  • Finance acquisitions with tools like SBA loans and seller financing.
  • Negotiate with sellers and transition into ownership.
  • And so, so much more. You can check out the schedule here.

The cool part:

Graphic comparing Main Street Millionaire Live to top business schools, with a Starbucks cup showing affordability.

Click HERE to get early bird pricing

The American Dream might look broken, but it isn’t dead.

It’s just waiting for new ownership.

We’d love to help you seize it.

ONE LAST THING…

📊 Get the only newsletter that makes you a smarter business buyer every time you open it.

DOPAMINE HIT

Team Contrarian

The information contained here is educational, may not be typical, and does not guarantee returns. Background, education, effort, and application will affect your experience and the profitability of any business. Individual results may vary.

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